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A cracker of a competition
OVER the last 12 months or so,
Papua New Guinea has witnessed the best that competition can bring
into an economy.
Papua New Guineans, these impoverished lot said to be living below
the poverty line, were suddenly given the chance to communicate with
each other and with the outside world at an affordable rate and from
so many parts of the country, which was hitherto thought to be
unreachable.
Impoverished or not, the people responded with such joyous
enthusiasm and spent with such wild abandon that the growth in the
telecommunication industry been nothing less than exponential,
registering no less than 39%.
There were 7,700 customers to the B Mobile network in 2001. Today
with the introduction of competition, there are said to be some
300,000 customers on the B Mobile network, an exponential increase
by any language. The competitor, Digicel, is said to have 400,000
subscribers.
Digicel, the Irish company, which specialises in mobile
communications in Caribbean nations, when it decided to break
Telikom’s 46-year monopolistic control of the telecommunication
sector, could little have realised that its entry into the market
could have netted over 400,000 subscribers in the first year.
If this figure were correct, and if 400,000 subscribers to Digicel
were each to buy only the cheapest promotional Coral 100 mobile
phones at K49 each, which would amount to a staggering K19,600,000
in phone sales alone.
Of course, most subscribers would have chosen to buy phones at the
upper end of the market so this amount could only be ever so much
bigger.
And if 400,000 subscribers were each to buy one K3 Flex card (the
cheapest available) per month, this would total K1.2 million per
month and K14.4 million per annum. But of course, the amount would
be treble or quadruple that amount because most subscribers spend
much more per month on flex cards.
Remember that many subscribe to both B-Mobile and D-Mobile services.
Before the competition, B-Mobile sold some 10,000 handsets. Today it
is difficult to keep an accurate count because so many outlets sell
the handsets.
Subscribers, companies and the economy have gained from the
competition. Mobile services were offered first in PNG in 1995 when
Telikom introduced the old AMPS technology. This system has since
been de-commissioned and replaced with the GSM system.
AMPS system is an analogue system which is not compatible with newer
technology applications such as SMS.
Before Digicel entered the market, mobile phone charges were at an
inhibitive K2.50 per minute. After competition, this rate is down to
about K1.20 per minute.
Also SIM cards were sold for K125 before Digicel and now these are
about K25 and minimum rates for pre-paid cards were K20 minimum but
with competition has been lowered also to K3.
Employment has been positively impacted. Every job available with
Digicel PNG is new. Telikom PNG has created an entirely new
department called the “emerging technologies” division to meet
competition.
Businesses have gained. There are those business houses which have
rented out space to the two telecommunication companies to retail
their wares. There are the young people on the streets selling phone
cards.
There are those companies which are selling hand sets of a wide
variety and those which design advertising and those media companies
which run advertisement.
All round then, competition has been good.
The big question now, with the much awaited interconnectivity
between B-Mobile and Digicel and it is hoped G-Mobile (the new
Greencom) only a matter of days away, is: Will this be the moment of
reckoning for Telikom? Will it suffer such tremendous loss of
business that it will become unviable as a business concern?
Subscribers to one or both networks should be ecstatic, of course.
To my mind, Telikom can only gain as it has in the past year. Yes,
one would want everything to be ready before competition is
introduced but it has happened and Telikom has been thrown in at the
deep end. It would be detrimental to go back now when Telikom has
just begun to fight back.
Subscribers to B Mobile as well as Digicel have increased. What
Telikom might be foregoing in terms of revenue now with separate
systems, it could recoup with interconnection. Telikom will be
earning extra revenue from traffic generated by Digicel. Telikom has
a large network, which can transport or terminate calls from the
Digicel network. The technical details, of course, I would expect
are being finalised between the two companies.
In the mad rush of the mobile competition, very little has changed
by way of quality of servicing or rates for fixed phone services.
With interconnectivity and the likelihood that competing companies
might set up their own fixed phone services, perhaps Telikom could
have a good look at this now.
And Telikom can tackle this competition much better if it were left
to compete as a company without support from politics because that
is a very easy escape temptation, which does not help our statutory
corporations from meeting international competition.
And despite what may be said, Telikom is meeting this competition
remarkably well even while it might have lost all the court battles.
It would be a tragedy to take it back to a monopoly or to lend it
political support when it has done so well alone.
There is much to be learnt from this episode and much that can be
applied to all other protected and subsidised sectors, which have
been costing taxpayers so much over the years.
Building bridges in Solomon Islands
IN the last days of 2007, former
Solomon Islands attorney-general Julian Moti was arrested and put on
a plane to Australia, to stand trial for child sex offences
allegedly committed a decade ago.
His extradition, long-demanded by Australia, is being seen as a
concerted attempt by the new prime minister Dr Derek Sikua, to
repair the damage done to the Solomons’ relationship with Australia.
Dr Sikua’s predecessor Manasseh Sogavare had angered Australia over
several issues before he was ousted in a vote of no-confidence in
mid-last month.
Strengthening ties with neighbouring Australia is one way Dr Sikua
hopes to help the country’s development.
But faced with lingering ethnic divisions and a struggling economy,
will this be enough to enable the Solomons to enter a much-needed
period of political and social stability?
The dispute over Moti’s extradition came to symbolise not only
Sogavare’s somewhat belligerent approach to politics, but also the
cronyism and elitism which analysts say has hampered the Solomons’
political development in the past.
Professor Hassall from the University of the South Pacific (USP)
said the resolution of the issue was an important step towards
addressing standards of governance in the South Pacific.
“There is a perception in the region that political leaders
sometimes escape legal obligations,” he said.
“Any instance in which a high-profile political figure is brought
before the law to answer charges ... helps to build confidence in
the efficacy of law in the South Pacific.”
Sogavare’s support for Moti was a major factor in his downfall,
leading to accusations by his parliamentary colleagues of bringing
the country into disrepute.
According to Sinclair Dinnen, an expert in Pacific issues at the
Australia National University, this objection to Sogavare’s actions
showed that “the general public is no longer prepared to tolerate
brazen corruption”.
“The public expect a quality of governance and the delivery of
services that they feel they are entitled to,” he said.
One of the groups that is helping to improve the situation is the
Regional Assistance Mission to the Solomon Islands (Ramsi), an
Australian-dominated coalition of 15 Pacific countries.
It was originally deployed in 2003, when the actions of
heavily-armed rebel groups threatened to devastate the Solomons, but
has remained in the country ever since to help develop economic
stability and infrastructure.
Sogavare made no attempt to hide his dislike of certain aspects of
Ramsi, and his government accused Australia of acting like a
regional bully.
But with new governments installed in both the Solomons and
Australia, there will almost certainly be a fresh focus on Ramsi’s
role in the future.
While many in the Solomons welcome the mission’s presence, others
have concerns that it could lead to a dangerous culture of
dependency.
“Continuing Australian interference in the Solomon Islands cannot be
a good thing in the long run,” Sue Farran, an expert in Pacific
islands law from Dundee University, said.
“As long as they are dependent on Ramsi, it will be difficult for
them to move on independently”
With or without Ramsi’s assistance, Dr Sikua’s government has many
enduring and deep-rooted problems to be resolved, not least that of
tensions between rival ethnic groups.
Prof Hassall says that although there has been no overt internal
conflict in recent years, “neither has there been a full resolution
of the issues causing grievance in the country”.
Fundamental issues remain unaddressed, he said, including the right
of Solomon Islanders to migrate to the wealthiest island,
Guadalcanal.
Other provinces have seen little economic development and remain
poor and isolated, with little mobility, either literal or social.
The lack of income has forced rural islanders to accept the advances
of illegal logging companies, which have stripped some areas of
valuable timber and devastated the landscape.
If Dr Sikua and his administration are to prevent a repeat of the
ethnic violence of the past they must, say observers, tackle the
uneven spread of resources and services.
The situation is far from bleak, though.
The Solomon Islands have many natural resources and a youthful
population with which to manage them.
The handover of power from Sogavare to Dr Sikua happened without
violence – a positive sign of future stability, although there are
concerns that it was only Ramsi that kept the lid on unrest. – BBC
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