Philippine democracy remains frail

TWENTY-one years have passed since the seminal “Peoples Power” revolution in the Philippines when the late Filipino dictator Ferdinand E. Marcos was deposed and forced to flee to Hawaii.
It was a seminal event in modern history because it was the first time that a long-suffering and unhappy populace was able to overthrow a government literally without a shot being fired in a peaceful revolution.
Marcos came to power in 1965 and was the first Filipino president to be successfully elected to a second term in office.
Towards the end of his second term on Sept 21, 1972, he declared martial law, shut down a colourful and highly diverse media and imposed his style of one-man rule.
Many opposition politicians, journalists and left-wing academics were jailed without trial.
In the early days, Marcos had significant public support because of perceptions of improved law and order and some gains in economic development and in the building of new infrastructure.
But gradually corruption became the main driving force of the illegal regime and the Philippine economy, also adversely impacted by rapidly rising oil import prices, began to stagnate.
Opposition to the Marcos regime grew steadily after the assassination in Aug 1983 of opposition leader Benigno Aquino at the Manila International Airport, on his return from exile in the United States.
Things came to a head after his widow, Corazon Aquino, challenged Marcos in the February 1986 national election, where the latter’s victory was disputed as being fraudulent.
The National Bishops Conference also condemned it as fraudulent.
Marcos’ fate was sealed after more than a million people took their protests to the streets of Manila and were eventually supported by the military, including the armed forces head Gen Fidel Ramos and Defence Minister Juan Ponce Enrile.
It was the same Enrile who staged an assassination attempt on himself the day after martial law was announced in an effort to legitimise the Marcos’ day of infamy. He was a key cabinet minister during the martial law years and has remained a senator since then.
Despite the 21 years that have passed, Philippine politics remain highly problematic despite the holding of democratic presidential elections and for a myriad of other positions.
As the first post-martial law president, Mrs Aquino was unable to utilise her much admired charisma and popularity to institutionalise and pave the way for broader national reforms.
She would certainly have done a lot better if not for the fact that the so-called “Lost Command” of renegade soldiers, with some reported links to Enrile, stage-managed about half a dozen coup attempts in a bid to set up a military government.
They failed, partly because Mrs Aquino was able to count on the loyalty of Gen Ramos, but scores of people were killed as a result and any hopes for a boom in foreign investments and increased employment were quickly killed off.
Gen Ramos himself became president in 1992 and even though he was immune, presumably as a military man, from the coup attempts. But economic and political progress remained uneven and patchy during his six years in office.
His great achievement was to largely resolve significant infrastructure problems, especially in power generation, helping to largely bring to an end the incessant blackout and brownout problems facing the vast metropolis of Manila.
Next on the scene was Joseph ‘Erap’ Estrada, one of the country’s famous movie actors, who was unable to complete his term amongst claims of corruption and a rising tide of street protests. His fall occurred when the military withdrew its support.
Taking over from him was the then vice-president Gloria Macapagal Arroyo, who in 2004, was elected as president in her own right, again in the face of strong public protests and much controversy.
President Arroyo has brought significant macroeconomic change to the country and there have been some signs of significant improvements to infrastructure in the capital city but the lost opportunities since the fall of Marcos have meant that neighbouring countries continue to forge ahead of the Philippines.
There is a sense of fragility about the reforms of the past 21 years with Arroyo having faced a number of failed military coup attempts as well, the latest of which has been partially masterminded by that now honourable senator ‘Gringo’ Honasan.
Since the fall of Marcos, most economists believe the numbers of people living in poverty has continued to increase even though there are some incipient signs of stronger economic growth in recent years.
One of the brighter developments on the socio-economic horizon has been the impact of the Catholic-based Gawak Kalinga group, which is presently building some 700,000 homes for poor people in disadvantaged communities throughout the country.
Questions about the robustness of Philippine democracy emerge continuously.
A recently completed United Nations report last week accused the Philippine military of being involved in numerous extra-judicial killings, something that also occurred in Indonesia under President Suharto.
Almost every year, there are more journalists killed in the Philippines than in any other country besides Iraq.
Other long-standing political problems that remain unresolved include the Muslim separatist movement in Mindanao and Sulu Islands in the southern Philippines, and an apparently resurgent New Peoples Army, a militant communist group of a kind that has become a relic even in the communist world.
At the heart of the Philippine inability to implement significant change, is the continued dominance of the elite in the nation’s Congress, who count among themselves people like Enrile and Honasan.

 

       

 

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