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        by SOLOMON KANTHA
    What does the future hold for PNG?

SINCE independence 31 years ago, we continue to face a development conundrum of translating the wealth of our natural resources into tangible development outcomes.
The impoverished state of the country falls short of reflecting our immense natural resources. This has over the years begged the fundamental development question of “why is PNG so rich yet so poor?”
The question underlies one of the major development paradoxes that is faced not only by PNG but also other natural resource-rich countries in Africa, the Middle East and Latin America.
This phenomenon has been referred to as the “resource curse” or the “paradox of the plenty”.
It is a conventional belief that countries with rich natural resources should be economically well-off with higher rates of economic growth than those that are without.
However, experiences of most natural resource-rich countries around the world have negated this logic.
Although there are more complex economic explanations to this phenomenon, in PNG’s case this dilemma may be attributed to three key factors.
First is the country’s stage of development which goes back to our colonial history where there was no investment by the colonial administration prior to independence in developing the necessary administrative and political institutions as well as the human resource expertise that was essential to take the country forward after independence.
The period after independence saw a flurry of political novices and public office holders, most of whom knew little about the offices they occupy and the role of these institutions.
That is not to say that some have performed with exemplary skill and grace during their tenure.
This event in our history has compelled many to ask whether our independence was too soon.
Second, the conflict between the traditional and modern institutions and practices significantly impacts on the behaviour of political decision makers.
This consequently impinges on the nature of domestic political and economic policies and practices. Changes in domestic policies have had a significant impact on the country’s development trajectory.
The divergent nature of the country as comprising different ethnic groups has also fostered competition for the limited resources in the national coffers.
More so, regional and ethnic-based considerations for public office appointments have frequently resulted in many unqualified and inexperienced appointees.
Votes of no-confidence have also led to frequent changes in the government distorting the continuity of public policies.
It is a norm in PNG politics that whenever there is a new government, there are also new departmental heads and new policies without a continuation of what has been initiated by previous governments.
This detrimental political cycle has been a major hurdle to growth and development.
Third is the process of globalisation which has brought about new opportunities and challenges.
Globalisation has led to the proliferation of non-state actors such as multinational corporations (MNCs) and transnational corporations (TNCs) supplanting national boundaries and exploiting natural resource-rich countries.
MNCs and TNCs have also had a tremendous influence on the domestic policies of developing countries. They have also caused irreparable environmental destruction and conflicts related to natural resources.
The Bougainville secessionist crisis and the Ok Tedi landowners’ environmental lawsuit against BHP Billiton are manifestations of the impact of MNCs in developing countries.
It sometimes baffles me just contemplating how we can transform PNG from a developing to a developed country by virtue of our natural resource endowments.
By “developed”, I do not mean having skyscrapers everywhere, five-star hotels, railways, a navy fleet, jet fighters, a space station, and Starbucks and McDonalds at every corner of the street.
Rather, I mean an improved standard of living, access to the best and affordable education system and health services, well maintained road network connecting remote places, well-equipped security forces to maintain law and order and monitor our borders, accessibility to information technology such as the internet and telecommunications system linking even the remotest part of the country to the world, an abundance of job opportunities and an educated and healthy population.
All these cannot be realised unless we have a vision.
Successful countries are those that have leaders with visions and the commitment and drive to achieve their dreams.
I wonder whether any of us have ever envisioned PNG in the next 100 years.
I recall an occasion in July last year when I was observing a congressional hearing at Capitol Hill in Washington DC.
The hearing was about the progress of the development of renewable energy sources in certain states in the US when fossil fuels are depleted.
What struck me most was the amazing level of futuristic thinking that ensued in the hearing and the alternatives that were being considered when the earth’s fossil fuels are being depleted in perhaps the next 100 years time.
Reminiscing that occasion compels me to ask similar questions concerning PNG.
Have we planned on making investments for future projects that would sustain our economy when all our natural resources have been depleted?
What policies do we require to benefit fully from our natural resource wealth?
Do we have any aspirations of becoming an economic power in the region given our natural resource endowments?
Countries such as the United Arab Emirates have already invested heavily into magnificent tourism infrastructure to sustain their economy when oil has been depleted in their region.
We have to be more inquisitive as to why we are confronted with this development conundrum, what factors that are inhibiting progressive economic development and how we can address this dilemma by coming up with practical endogenous solutions.
It is time that we must have a vision for PNG and implement policies that would reverse the sluggish economic trend.
If our politics is the major deterrence in realising our goals, then let us review our political system and make adjustments so that it does not hold us back and work against us by enriching a few and marginalising the rest.
Most of the answers to our predicament lie internally and sure enough it will also require remedies that we ourselves should come up with.
If the Judgment Day does not befall us and if the rising sea level as a result of global warming will take another millennia to eventually take its toll, giving us ample time to enjoy life on this planet, what is PNG’s vision or the kind of society that we want to have in the next hundred years?
It is indisputable that PNG has the capability of becoming the first black developed nation by virtue of our natural resource endowments but it will have to take visionaries who act today for it to happen tomorrow.
We should be planning and investing on having nationally-owned mineral resource extractive companies or PNG-owned multinational companies.
This will be a crucial step towards gaining more economic leverage and benefiting fully from our resources before they are siphoned offshore.
The dream of becoming a developed nation might not eventuate in our lifetime but it will be something that our future generations will enjoy and benefit from if we plan ahead now.
What lies beyond the future for PNG? It would be something for our political leaders to ponder.
There is a saying that “politicians think about the next election and statesmen think of the next generation”. We need more of the latter.

Note: The writer is doing his Masters in Political Science at the University of Hawaii in Honolulu.


       

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