Thursday July 19, 2007

 

 

 

 

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by BRIAN GOMEZ

Politicians are to blame for ‘sad’ poll outcome
 

There is a long way to go before the final results for the national election are known.
But in general terms, Bottom Line believes a sad outcome is inevitable.
Good governance and good government will be difficult to achieve in the coming five-year term of the next government as the country’s leadership continues to grapple with the age-old problem of keeping coalition party members onside and compliant.
Despite this negative outlook regarding the performance of politicians and political parties, I still believe Papua New Guineans can anticipate that the next five years will be the best period, in economic terms, since the nation gained independence in 1975.
This may appear a contradiction but is somewhat akin to the once widely held view in Australia that the ‘Lucky Country’ would do well regardless of inept political leadership, although this view has waned over the last two decades.
The reason for this optimism on the economic front flows from basic developments that have occurred under the previous two governments, during which time there has been a vast improvement in overall governance.
Former prime minister Sir Mekere Morauta was responsible for core constitutional and legislative changes at a time the nation was reaching the depths of despair, overhauling regulations governing the financial sector.
He also set new ground rules for the nation’s democratic foundations, particularly with respect to the behaviour of political parties.
Why have the results of the 2007 elections been less than ideal?
Near the top of the reasons I would place the high number of independents that will enter the next Parliament.
Independent MPs can, and do, play an important role as a constructive opposition and as a ‘voice’ for valid minority interests and aspirations, a role well personified in Australia by ‘The Democrats’ (slogan – Keep the Bastards Honest) and
others such as the ‘Green’ parties.
But when minority views assume prominence the overall result could be destabilising.
It has been a common saying that ‘people get the governments they deserve’.
In many senses, this is a truism. After all, democratically elected governments are voted into office by the people.
One has to assume that despite problems in various PNG constituencies with cheating, etc, that the overall result would still be a fair reflection of public opinion.
Bottom Line would view this situation in a slightly different light and suggest that PNG politicians have brought on an adverse result because of their own actions, even though the big personality changes in the next 109-seat Parliament is not necessarily a change for the worse.
More likely the next Parliament will closely reflect what has been going on in this august body since independence, with the effects somewhat muted by the Integrity Laws passed by the Morauta government.
There is no reason to believe that attendance at parliamentary sessions will be much better than ever before – many sessions will be abandoned because of a lack of quorum – and this will certainly not be because individual MPs are spending more of their time looking after the interests of people who voted them into Parliament.
I have made the point in this column that the past five years have been among the best enjoyed by the country due to the massive increase in government revenues from high commodity prices, better controls on government spending and good policies.
This has laid the groundwork for a broad-based economic recovery on a scale that has never happened before with many thousands of people in various parts of the country enjoying significant royalty payments from new developments plus unprecedented housing programmes for the middle class citizens.
Even though the ruling National Alliance Party should return to office, it appears that it will do so with less than the 24 MPs voted into office in 2002.
This nevertheless is history making.
All ruling parties have in the past performed badly when they came up for re-election.
Like Sir Mekere’s government at the 2002 polls, the Somare Government badly hurt itself, and its prospects, in the final six to 12 months
prior to the national election.
It caved in to almost unanimous demands in Parliament to vote big increases in various perks and lifelong pensions for MPs oblivious to the poverty that is the way of life of a vast number of people around the country.
Major and difficult changes to governance revolving around the National Capital District that had taken much pain and difficulty to push through the previous Parliament were trampled almost overnight.
No voices of protest were heard from the august house.
The Ombudsman Commission had to personally intervene to stop MPs who had not accounted for their ‘slush funds’ to have access to additional funds to bolster their re-election hopes.
For these reasons, the street-smart people of PNG, a large proportion of whom have never been to school and could arguably blame their politicians for their fate, used their innate wisdom to repeat a tradition of booting out some 60% of MPs who were elected in 2002.
One of the really sad outcomes has been the ouster of former prime minister Sir Rabbie Namaliu, a leader as far as we can tell of the utmost integrity and a true nationalist.
But the nation’s political leaders have to share the blame for the election outcomes.
They have obviously poorly read the situation and reacted in a manner that confused and divided the electorate-at-large.
Probably the biggest problem in this regard was the spat between Prime Minister Sir Michael Somare and his former treasurer, Bart Philemon, which led to the formation of the New Generation Party.
It is useless in retrospect to apportion blame and, possibly, the unfortunate pawn in that manoeuvre has been Sir Rabbie, who dutifully took on the role of Treasurer when he was moved from the Foreign Ministry.
Despite the high public regard for Mr Philemon and Sir Mekere, their effort to tear down the edifice built by Sir Michael – they certainly had some grounds for their stance – was among the factors that will make governability an ongoing issue until 2012.

       

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