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Better policies with improved HIV data

It is exactly 20 years since the first HIV/AIDS cases were detected in PNG. In recent years, several overseas reports have drawn up nightmare scenarios of likely outcomes. Most of these emanated from Australian government and research institutes.
Suggestions were made that HIV/AIDS was much worse than official PNG estimates, along with criticisms that there has been a lack of commitment among successive PNG governments. Much of these criticisms can be put to rest following the release on Wednesday of a landmark government report, “The 2007 Estimation Report on the HIV Epidemic in Papua New Guinea”.
Exhaustive studies of available data, including adoption of sophisticated estimation techniques used by the joint United Nations Programme on HIV/ AIDS and the World Health Organisation, show that PNG HIV prevalence rate is 1.28% among adults aged 15-49.
This is significantly lower than the 1.7% median estimate made by the 2nd National Consensus Workshop in 2004 or the earlier estimates by the first workshop in 2000.
There is certainly no reason to believe, as overseas reports prepared by AusAID and the World Bank have intimated, that PNG authorities were somehow trying to hide the true picture and, consequently, not treating the problem with adequate seriousness. This is not to deny that HIV/ AIDS has reached alarming proportions.
The government of the day seriously began to tackle this issue in 1997, 10 years after discovery of the first cases. At the time of the creation of the National AIDS Council Act 1997, the cumulative number of HIV infections was 918.
Government action was given further impetus in 2004 when the National Executive Council moved the National AIDS Council to the Prime Minister’s Department. This coincided with the launch of a strategic plan for 2006-2010 that had the express aim of reducing the HIV prevalence rate to below 1% by 2010. Given the latest data, this was clearly unrealistic.
Nevertheless the 2007 report released by outgoing Health Minister Sir Peter Barter is a landmark event that ranks among the most important initiatives of the outgoing Somare Government, which appears set to regain office on Monday following its convincing success at the recent national elections.
Although the estimated rate of infections is lower than previous estimates, the cumulative rate of infections remains very worrying. As Sir Peter warned: “We must not become complacent and think we will not become infected or affected by the epidemic. The impact of the epidemic is being felt in every province in the country. The HIV epidemic is becoming a crisis.”
The new report, which for the first time takes into account a much wider database including statistics from all ante natal clinics, showed there were an estimated 46,275 people living with HIV at the end of last year. However, only 18,484 have been diagnosed with almost 28,000 people unaware of their HIV status, making them an extremely high risk group in government efforts to contain the epidemic.
One of the greatest fears is that this year it appears likely HIV prevalence in urban areas will be overtaken by the infection rate in rural areas, where 85% of the country’s six million people live. The urban prevalence rate is 1.32% with an estimated 7,415 people living with HIV, compared with 1.27% in rural areas where 38,860 people lived with HIV last year.
A higher rural infection rate presents a scary scenario on several grounds; the relatively poor state of health services in rural areas, difficulty in accessing voluntary counselling and testing facilities and communication problems among diverse language groups, including large numbers of people who are illiterate.
Sir Peter Barter, the Ministry of Health and the National AIDS Council, along with collaborators from AusAID and other international expert groups, deserve to be commended in providing much more accurate data on HIV/AIDS prevalence.
The data suggests that efforts need to be redoubled, if that were possible, particularly in the National Capital District and Western Highlands, where HIV infections are very high. Every effort must be made to encourage people in urban environments, who have undergone learning experiences about possible behavioural and lifestyle changes, to communicate their knowledge to relatives and friends in rural areas, helping to make the battle against HIV/AIDS infections more of a national endeavour.

 

                                                               

 

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