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Economic activities continued to grow in first half: Kamit

By FRANK ASAELI
ECONOMIC activities in the country continued to grow in the first six months of the year, Central Bank Governor Wilson Kamit reported.
Mr Kamit said that the growth reflected the high international commodity prices, increased government expenditure and lending to the private sector by commercial banks.
The governor’s statement was carried by Bank of PNG quarterly economic bulletin for the June quarter.
“As a result of the continued high international export prices, there were surpluses in the Government’s fiscal operations and the balance of payments,” Mr Kamit said.
He noted that employment continued to increase in all sectors and in most regions while lending to all sectors also increased as a result of low interest rates and confidence by the private sector.
“The headline inflation rate remained low, although there are signs of underlying inflationary pressure from the past depreciation of the kina against the Australian dollar,” Mr Kamit said.
He had recommended that the Government “should fast track” the implementation of major development policies contained in the medium-term development strategy (MTDS).
He also strongly urged the bringing down of barriers to investments to broaden the economic base and sustain higher economic growth.
The governor reported that the daily kina exchange rate had appreciated against the US dollar to US$0.34 as of Sept 20, up US$0.01 from last year’s US$0.33 in the same period.
The kina has also gained against the Australian dollar since June to A$0.39 as of Sept 20.
The low annual increase outcome in the June quarter of 2007 can mainly be credited to the large fall in the price of fruits and vegetables and betelnut in the first half of the year.
Whilst the headline and trimmed mean increase outcomes were below the bank’s forecasts as stated in the July 2007 monetary policy statement, the exclusion-based inflation outcome of 8% was within the bank’s forecast, Mr Kamit said.
The higher underlying price rise outcome was mainly due to the decrease of the kina against the Australian dollar, increases in inflation from PNG’s major trading partners and the lagged effect of domestic fuel price increases.
The growth reflected the high international commodity prices, increased Government expenditure and lending to the private sector by commercial banks.
Among the highlights of Mr Kamit’s report:
1. Higher international prices for mineral, most agricultural commodities and log exports resulted in a 12.8% rise in the weighted average kina price of PNG’s exports in the June quarter as against the same period the previous year.
2. There was a 9.9% rise in the weighted average kina price of mineral exports, with higher prices for gold, copper and crude oil; and
3. For the agricultural, forestry and marine product exports, the weighted average kina price increased by 41.2% and was attributed to higher kina export prices of coffee, cocoa, palm oil, copra oil, copra, rubber and logs, which more than offset declines in export prices of tea and marine products.
Mr Kamit stressed that the overall surplus in the balance of payments was K400 million for the first six months of this year, as against a higher surplus of K675 million for the same period of 2006.
“This outcome was the result of a lower surplus in the current account, which more than offset an improvement in the capital and financial accounts,” he stressed.

 

           



 

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