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More action after Bali talks?
By MARTIN KHOR
THE Bali Climate Change Conference
concluded successfully late last Saturday afternoon after a dramatic day of
events that at times saw tempers flaring openly, and the direct intervention
of the UN secretary-general and the Indonesian president to appeal to the
countries to make a final deal.
In the end, the conference agreed to launch a “comprehensive process” to
tackle a long list of issues, including how to mitigate (take preventive
measures) and adapt to climate change, as well as provide the financial
resources and technology to developing countries do so.
The Bali conference marked the fact that all the governments present
accepted the scientific findings that global warming is “unequivocal” and
that delay in reducing emissions increases the risk of more severe climate
change impacts.
At previous meetings of the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC),
it had been debated by a few governments whether climate change was really
occurring or how serious it was.
The most significant result at Bali was the creation of a working group on
long-term cooperative action to discuss a wide range of issues under the
four “building blocks” of mitigation, adaptation, finance and investment,
and technology transfer.
At least three controversial issues have been set aside for the time being,
because there was no consensus, but are bound to re-appear when the working
group starts working.
The first is whether issues other than the four building blocks will be
included in the agenda of the group.
Many developed countries had proposed topics such as the further commitments
of developing countries, a level playing field for economic competitiveness
and energy security.
These topics had been opposed by many developing countries as being either
out of the mandate of the UNFCCC or as being not “mature” enough for
negotiations.
At the group’s first meeting next March, which will establish its work
programme, these new issues are bound to return through proposals of the
developed countries.
The second is whether the new process will lead to a new “comprehensive”
agreement, or whether it will strengthen the implementation of the existing
treaties governing climate change – the UNFCCC and its Kyoto Protocol.
The developed countries made it clear they want to radically change or
replace the Kyoto Protocol and even parts of the Convention.
The developing countries are deeply suspicious of this intention, as the two
treaties are relatively friendly to them.
Under these present treaties, the developing countries also commit to take
measures to fight climate change but they are not obliged to undertake
legally binding emission reduction targets, and their efforts are
conditioned by the extent to which the developed countries provide finance
and technology.
Throughout the two weeks’ talks in Bali, the US, Japan, Canada, European
Union and Russia continuously pressed the developing countries to take on
binding or non-binding commitments.
In the final outcome, there was no mention that the working group would come
up with a new “agreement”, but the pressures to alter some of the basic
tenets of the existing treaties will resume at the group.
Thirdly, the Bali document does not set a global target for reduction of
greenhouse gases.
One success on the final day was that the conference managed to pull in the
United States to agree to take (or at least discuss) its own emission
reduction commitment under the UNFCCC umbrella, although it had pulled out
of the Kyoto Protocol.
The Bali outcome says that all developed countries have to make mitigation
commitments or actions (including emission reduction objectives), while
ensuring comparable efforts among them.
Another important result is that developing countries have agreed to take
“nationally-appropriate mitigation actions in the context of sustainable
development, supported by technology and enabled by financing in a
measurable, reportable and verifiable manner”.
As one minister stated at the closing, it is the first time developing
countries have made this commitment.
They insisted, however, in including that their efforts must be accompanied
by finance and technology assistance from developed countries, and that this
(together with the developing countries’ mitigation actions) be also
measurable and verifiable.
These two paragraphs were so problematic that the Bali meeting had to be
extended an extra day. When the US objected to a proposed change by India
and the G77 and China that clarified that finance and technology provision
also be made measurable and verifiable, the final session continued to be
held back.
A plea by many countries to the US to agree was dramatised by Papua New
Guinea, which told the US delegation: “Either take the lead or get out of
the way!”
In the end, the US gave in, and the Bali conference could end rather
successfully.
No country got from Bali what it really wanted, but no one was forced to
take on something it found unacceptable.
But many of the battles that were fought here were not settled and the ball
is now at the feet of the new working group.
It will meet in March/April and three other times next year and will finish
its work in 2009.
Martin Khor is a non-governmental
organisation activist and writes a weekly column on environmental issues in
The Star newspaper in Malaysia.
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